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  • Crypto Market Goes Into “Extreme Fear”, What’s Next?

    Crypto Market Goes Into “Extreme Fear”, What’s Next?

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    With the recent crypto market decline, investors have become more fearful of the market. Recorded on the Fear & Greed Index, it shows that this remains an incredibly frightening time for users of cryptocurrencies. In times like these when the prices of digital assets continue to slide down, it is expected that investors become warier. However, this time around, the market had quickly gone into “Extreme Fear” territory with no sign of emerging anytime soon.

    Scared Of Investing?

    At the start of the month, top cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum had begun a recovery trend that would eventually wash over the rest of the market. As prices rose, so did positive sentiment among investors who had flooded back into the market. Not long after though, the market had started one of its signature correction trends that comes with the bull rally and now investors have chosen to retreat instead of risk further downside.

    Related Reading | CeFi Platform Celsius Restricts Yield Rewards To Only Accredited Investors In U.S.

    The Fear & Greed Index shows that the market had been on a downward sliding scale since coming out of last week which had ended with a neutral sentiment from both sides of the market. By Monday however, this had quickly turned into fear with bitcoin finally falling to the $43K territory. Tuesday in itself proved to be worse as the market had indeed fallen into extreme fear, leading to a low score of 20.

    Now, while Wednesday is starting out better than what Tuesday ended with at a score of 25, it still does not spell good news for the short term. When investors are scared of the market, they tend to not put any money into it for fear of losing more. This also triggers people taking profits from the market due to fear of their coins dropping further in value. With such low momentum, prices can suffer more instead of staging another recovery.

    Is Fear Good For Crypto?

    When it comes to how the market is feeling towards cryptocurrencies, it can often be a matter of personal perspective. There are those who believe that steering clear of the market while it is fearful is the best bet and to only invest once the prices start recovering. However, there are those who believe the opposite.

    Related Reading | The Ronin Hack Aftermatch: Axie Infinity’s $1M Bug Bounty

    Those who subscribe to the “buy the blood” school of thought often welcome downtrends like these since it gives them the opportunity to purchase coins at a “discount.” This mainly comes down to the risk appetite of the investor.

    Nevertheless, it still stands to reason that some of the largest rallies have come after the market has consolidated from a price drop. This was the case in late February/early March which had seen the market in extreme fear turn greedy very fast as prices began to recover. 

    Crypto total price chart from TradingView.com

    Total market cap falls to $1.8 trillion | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap on TradingView.com
    Featured image from Psychology Today, chart from TradingView.com

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  • What’s Next For Bitcoin As Prices Encounter Difficulty Reclaiming $43,000?

    What’s Next For Bitcoin As Prices Encounter Difficulty Reclaiming $43,000?

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    Recently, bitcoin prices have struggled, often dipping below the $43,000 mark and then failing to post substantial gains.

    Around 9:20 a.m. EDT, the world’s most popular crypto asset retreated to $42,777.20, CoinDesk data show, Saturday.

    The majority of cryptocurrencies traded lower early Saturday. Global crypto market market capitalization fell nearly 3% to $1.15 trillion in the last 24 hours, while total crypto market volume was up 9.3 percent to $89.50 billion.

    Suggested Reading | Ark CEO Cathie Wood Is As Bullish As Ever, Sees Bitcoin Hitting $1 Million By 2030

    Bitcoin Short Stay At Near $44K

    Bitcoin was able to inch back slightly shortly thereafter, reaching $43,962.01 at approximately 10 a.m. EDT. Following this comeback, it retreated again, falling to around $42,840 at 1:30 p.m.

    On the other hand, the overall volume of stablecoins was $74.34 billion, or 83.06% of the total 24-hour volume of the cryptocurrency market.

    Bitcoin was recently trading at an average price of around $43,500, roughly where it was 24 hours ago and well below the $47,000 barrier it crossed just a few days earlier, as investors continued to weigh in on the Federal Reserve’s new hawkish zeal and the ongoing twist of economic developments sparked by Russia’s attack on Ukraine.

    BTC total market cap at $805.46 billion on the weekend chart | Source: TradingView.com

    Unease Over Fed’s Monetary Policy Tightening

    According to an email from Oanda Senior Market Analyst Americas Edward Moya:

    “Bitcoin is unsure of its direction as Wall Street gets concerned about the central bank’s aggressiveness in tightening monetary policy.”

    Following these recent price swings, various experts expressed their predictions for the cryptocurrency’s future direction.

    Ben McMillan, chief information officer at IDX Digital Assets, weighed in, indicating critical levels of support and opposition.

    “$43k is a critical support level in the near term as bitcoin attempts to build on its recent relative strength,” he noted.

    Suggested Reading | Bitcoin Helps Market Hover Past $2 Trillion As BTC Nears $48,000

    Containing Inflation

    Cryptocurrency prices deviated somewhat from the performance of the main equities markets, which were marginally positive. The Nasdaq, which is heavily weighted toward the tech sector, gained less than a tenth of a percentage point.

    The US central bank has communicated strongly over the last week, both collectively and through individual governors, that it will step up efforts to contain inflation, which has hit about 8%, a four-decade high.

    The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and US equities has increased in the last 90 days as investors have become more risk averse in response to the Federal Reserve’s withdrawal of the pandemic-era intervention that is attributed with catalyzing the ascent of cryptocurrency.

    Featured image from Research Affiliates, chart from TradingView.com

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  • What’s next for blockchain and the creator economy

    What’s next for blockchain and the creator economy

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    After two years and many COVID-19 restrictions finally subsiding, the world is welcoming the return of in-person theater, movies, comedy, music and sports. This has left some wondering what will happen to the legions of digital creatives who occupied and entertained us while normal life was at a standstill — and to the multibillion-dollar economy they inhabit.

    Will the world forget the platforms and artists they discovered during the pandemic now the doors of festivals, fashion shows and concerts are open to them again? Is the creator economy, which recent estimates suggest will exceed $100 billion this year, strong enough to withstand a stampede back to real-life experiences?

    I strongly believe it is. Government-imposed restrictions may have accelerated the pace of change, but the transformative trends in video streaming we witnessed during the pandemic were nascent before and would have caught hold regardless.

    And, while I claim no deep training in macroeconomics, I am a technologist who has spent the past several years working in and around one of the most transformative new technologies to arise in decades: the blockchain. This is the technology that will completely reshape digital life, supercharging the creator economy in the process.

    Related: Decentralization revolutionizes the creator’s economy, but what will it bring?

    Playing on a digital stage

    The enforced slowdown has given many artists the time — and the push — needed to experiment in the digital sphere, find new audiences and explore new ways to showcase their talents.

    Even musicians who might never have given serious thought to live streaming a concert have taken to the digital stage. And, there’s evidence this will continue. Take singer Dua Lipa, who broke paid livestreaming records with 2020’s Studio 2054 concert. Initially said to be reluctant, Dua Lipa decided to go the livestream route after being forced to postpone an album tour. This turned out to be a good call: Her digital appearance drew more than five million views globally.

    A survey from Middlesex University and funded by the UK Economic and Social Research Council showed that some 90% of musicians and 92% of fans believe livestreaming would remain an effective way to reach fans unwilling or unable to travel to venues in the post-pandemic world. Providers should take note: The study also found that audiences do not expect free access to live music and are not particularly discouraged by paywalls.

    The rise in creative energy has inspired the developer community as well. New niche streaming platforms have grown up, helped by the emergence of low-cost decentralized infrastructure that allows application builders to encode video, store data and handle identity without having to pay expensive centralized cloud providers for such services.

    Related: Music in the Metaverse creates social and immersive experiences for users

    These centralized providers will increasingly find themselves on the defensive. Two attention-grabbing incidents in 2021 are illustrative: Hackers attacked Twitch and released private information about its code and its users to the world. And, Facebook suffered colossal reputational damage from a lengthy outage and whistleblower claims that its management has repeatedly chosen to prioritize profit over safety.

    What comes next?

    Big Tech’s woes and pandemic-related restrictions have sped up fundamental changes already underway in how the world produces, consumes and uses video content — changes likely to propel growth in the creator economy well into the future. And, given the increasing availability of low-cost decentralized blockchain infrastructure, these emerging players have a shot at mounting a serious challenge to the FAANG-run streaming providers.

    There are five ways that blockchain will hasten growth in the creator economy, and help cement it as a central force in worldwide culture and entertainment:

    Exclusivity: Nonfungible token- (NFT-) gated access and NFT ticketing are only two of the decentralized tools that improve the digital experience for event-goers: NFT tickets curb scalping while giving attendees a unique souvenir, all while token gating supports unique experiences for fans such as access to private groups and direct messaging with creators.

    Fan ownership: The Web3 era is defined by the shift from extracting value from renters to accreting value to owners. Just as the blockchain enables fans to engage directly with their favorite creators, it offers a pathway to asset ownership in individual creator economies outside of traditional centralized platforms.

    Low-cost streaming: Video streaming accounts for more than 80% of Web2 internet traffic and counting. Developers, eager to seize a piece of this market without being crushed by high costs, are increasingly seeking blockchain-based affordable infrastructure to support creator streams. With their new ability to draw global audiences through on-demand access-anywhere streams, creators are turning to uniquely Web3 features such as tipping, paid entry and live shopping to monetize their content.

    Immersive interactivity: The one-way nature of Web2 publishing is already giving way to immersive interactivity that rewards users for participation. With the ability to record immutably and securely on the blockchain, creators can incentivize interactions without sacrificing privacy.

    Niche down: While Web2 was built to scale up, Web3 is built to niche down. With its lower cost, increased security and resistance to censorship, the blockchain makes it possible to build micro-communities serving smaller niches than would be economically viable in Web2. That’s a fundamental shift that not only puts creators in control but also makes communities less appealing to attention-seeking trolls.

    The stage has been set for a blossoming of creative activity, and those poised to take it will be assisted by decentralized infrastructure.

    Related: The Metaverse will change the live music experience, but will it be decentralized?

    Digital creatives have always recognized that they must be nimble to succeed. Now, there is a technology that will empower them and their analog peers to reach new audiences on their own terms without having to cede power or profit to tech behemoths like Google and Amazon.

    My faith in the ability of musicians, gamers, influencers and creators to adapt to the new realities to come — and to thrive in them — has never been stronger.

    The creator economy? The clue’s in the name.

    This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

    The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

    Doug Petkanics is a co-founder at Livepeer, where the team is building a decentralized live video broadcast platform to enable the next generation of video streaming. Prior to Livepeer, Doug was co-founder and CEO of Wildcard, a mobile browser. He also co-founded Hyperpublic, which was acquired by Groupon. He was the VP of Engineering at both.