Tag: price

  • What Is the Optimum Price Level for XRP?

    What Is the Optimum Price Level for XRP?

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    Ripple is one of the most impressive blockchain projects. Unlike Bitcoin, which was originally introduced to create an internet-based currency, Ripple Labs saw the potential of the underlying blockchain technology and decided to create a decentralized infrastructure for the existing financial institutions.

    Even in the present day, when the crypto space has been bombarded with decentralized finance (DeFi) projects, only a handful of companies are truly competing with Ripple.

    With massive potential use cases, Ripple-issued digital currency XRP became very popular among crypto traders. It is one of the most controversial cryptos, yet remains in high demand. But, what is the optimum value of XRP? Is it currently undervalued or overvalued?

    67% Discount

    XRP is going through a roller coaster ride since 2020. The prices swang between a bottom of $0.2 and a peak of over $1.8 in the past 12 months, which was also triggered by the delisting of the token on US exchanges. Its volatility still remains and is mostly echoing the movement of the overall cryptocurrency market.

    Currently, XRP is trading at little more than a dollar for a few days, but the dominant market volatility can easily push the prices in any direction.

    “When XRP was delisted, around the turn of the year, the price had been floating between $0.40 and $0.60 — XRP saw a sharp decline in price directly after delisting but made a steep recovery to far over $1 by April. Since then, the price has ebbed and flowed, but hasn’t dropped back down to immediate post-decline numbers,” said Finder.com’s Zak Killermann.

    While Bitcoin and Ethereum are testing their peaked recently, XRP is trading significantly lower than its early 2018 peak. Then, the XRP price touched almost $3.34, meaning the token is now trading at a discount of over 67 percent.

    According to CoinPrice Forecast, XRP is likely to end 2021 with a value of $1.15, while it has the possibility of gaining 47 percent by the end of next year: both much lower than the tokens all-time high value. But what is keeping XRP from surging like Solana, Cardano’s ADA, or Polkadot?

    The SEC Case

    Though there is no certain answer, XRP price is most likely being influenced by the ongoing litigation against Ripple brought by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The lawsuit alleged that XRP is unregistered security and accused the San Francisco-headquartered company of illegally raising $1.3 billion by selling the crypto.

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    The regulator’s move against the blockchain company prompted the US exchanges to delist the token as they wanted to avoid regulatory backlash for listing unregistered security.

    Though Ripple received recognition from many major international banks and financial giants like Bank of America, Santander, and American Express, the token’s future price is highly correlated with the SEC lawsuit.

    A favorable judgment can push XRP to a significantly higher level, while the complications associated with labeling XRP as security can plummet the token price to a new low.

    “US exchanges who have chosen to remove XRP have likely damaged their US customers holding XRP. Customers without offshore trading options were likely forced to sell at near-term depressed levels,” said Joshua Greenwald, Head of Risk at Uphold. 

    “Re-listing may help those who’ve continued to hold recoup some of those losses but many have sold, and for many, the damage is done.”

    He further pointed out a strange correlation between the overall market value of XRP and ETHUSD since mid-May.

    XRPUSD and ETHUSD correlation
    XRPUSD and ETHUSD correlation

    Big Fish

    Another factor, that can push the value of XRP higher is institutional adoption. Against unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP failed to get the attention of institutional investors. However, the ties of the project with big banks can surge the demand for the token when the widespread testing RippleNet starts.

    Though traditional hedge funds and institutions are yet to adopt XRP, many large crypto investors are already betting big on the token. According to Whale Alert, the number of large XRP transactions is also surging, signaling bullish bets on the token.

    “It’s hard to say if Ripple can survive regulatory challenges long term but the short term outlook for XRP looks promising, with a panel average end of year price prediction of $1.23,” Killermann said.



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  • Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Lowest In 3 Years, What Does It Mean For The Price?

    Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Lowest In 3 Years, What Does It Mean For The Price?

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    On-chain data shows Bitcoin exchange reserves have hit the lowest value in 3 years, here’s what it might mean for BTC’s price.

    Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Lowest In 3 Years As Negative Netflows Continue

    As pointed out by a CryptoQuant post, exchange reserves have been continuing their downtrend, and have now reached lows not seen since 3 years ago.

    The all exchanges reserve is an indicator that shows the total amount of Bitcoin held in wallets of all centralized exchanges.

    An increase in the metric’s value suggests more investors are depositing their coins for withdrawing to fiat or altcoin purchasing. On the other hand, a decrease means more buyers are moving their BTC to personal wallets for hodling or OTC deals.

    Here is the latest chart for the Bitcoin all exchanges reserve:

    Bitcoin Exchange Reserve

    The BTC all exchanges reserve plunges down

    As the above graph shows, the value of the indicator has sharply gone down recently. The current level of the metric is the lowest it has been in the last three years.

    As already mentioned before, a downtrend like this one means investors are withdrawing their coins from exchanges possibly to hodl or sell through OTC deals.

    Related Reading | Indicators Show Bitcoin Might Be Gearing Up For One Last Push Up

    Such values are typically bullish in the long-term as they may mean that there are more long-term holders in the market who are hodling out of exchanges.

    There is another relevant indicator here, called the Bitcoin netflow, which shows the net amount of BTC entering or exiting exchanges.

    A positive spike in the chart for the exchange netflows means exchanges are observing more inflows compared to the outflows. A negative value implies just the opposite.

    Big spikes or a prolonged period of smaller spikes in one direction can affect the value of the exchange reserves. Naturally, positive values can increase the reserve while negative ones can decrease it.

    Related Reading | Ukraine Adopts New Law To Legalize Bitcoin And Other Cryptocurrencies

    The below chart shows the current trend for the exchange netflows:

    Bitcoin Netflows

    The BTC netflows show big negative spikes

    As expected, the netflows have been negative recently, leading to the low values of the Bitcoin exchange reserves.

    What Could It Mean for BTC’s Price?

    As mentioned earlier, a downtrend in the exchange reserves can be bullish for the price in the long-term as it may imply a greater amount of long-term holdings. This has also been usually true historically, but there can be certain exceptions.

    However, looking at the current Bitcoin price movement, it looks like selling has been going on. But as the exchange reserves haven’t shot up (unlike the crash from the May ATH), sales are being done likely through OTC deals.

    Now, depending on if most of the outflows are being done to sell through OTC deals, a bearish picture can be there instead.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

    BTC's price continues to decline | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
    Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant

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  • Bitcoin Price Breaks $52K, Why Rally Isn’t Over Yet

    Bitcoin Price Breaks $52K, Why Rally Isn’t Over Yet

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    Bitcoin price broke the key $52,000 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC remains supported and it could continue to climb higher towards $55,000.

    • Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $51,500 and $52,000 resistance levels.
    • The price is now trading above $52,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
    • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $52,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
    • The pair could dips a few points, but it might find support near $52,250 and $52,000.

    Bitcoin Price Extends Gains

    Bitcoin price consolidated above the $51,000 zone for some time before starting a fresh increase. BTC broke the key $52,000 resistance zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average to move further into a positive zone.

    The price even broke the $52,500 resistance and traded as high as $52,800. It is now trading well above $52,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. An immediate support is near the $52,400 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $51,183 swing low to $52,800 high.

    The next support could be near the $52,250 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $52,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

    Bitcoin Price

    Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    The main support is now forming near the $52,000 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $51,183 swing low to $52,800 high. If there is a downside break below the $52,000 support zone, the price could extend its decline. In the stated case, the price could test the $50,850 support or the 100 hourly SMA.

    More Upsides In BTC?

    If bitcoin stays above the $52,000 support zone and the trend line, it could rise further. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $52,650 level.

    The first major resistance is near the $52,800 level. A close above the $52,800 level could pump the price further in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls could be near the $53,500 zone. Any more gains could lead the price towards the $54,200 level.

    Technical indicators:

    Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bullish zone.

    Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is well above the 60 level.

    Major Support Levels – $52,250, followed by $52,000.

    Major Resistance Levels – $56,650, $52,800 and $53,500.

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  • After a 273% rally, this key indicator signaled that CELO price was overextended

    After a 273% rally, this key indicator signaled that CELO price was overextended

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    Now that altcoin season is upon us again, multiple tokens are witnessing illustrious price hikes every day. In a sideways market, a key skill for a trader is the ability to anticipate when an asset will break out — and when everything is green, knowing when the rallies are coming to an end becomes equally essential.

    This week, CELO embarked on a flash rally that generated an almost vertical line on its price chart, but then it quickly faded without ushering in a strong second wave.

    Aside from keeping a steady eye on candlestick charts, was there a better way for traders to know in advance when to hop off?

    A new DeFi initiative fuels CELO’s price spike

    CELO is the native asset of the Celo blockchain ecosystem, whose main goal is to introduce the convenience of decentralized finance, or DeFi, to underbanked smartphone users around the world. A utility token that utilizes a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism, CELO is designed to facilitate transactions and governance processes on the platform.

    On Aug. 30, a consortium of DeFi entities — including Aave, SushiSwap, Curve, 0x, PoolTogether and Celo — announced a joint educational effort aimed at raising global awareness of decentralized finance, to which they pledged up to $100 million in grants and incentives.

    In terms of the immediate effect on crypto-asset prices, CELO stood to benefit the most from the news, as the Celo platform will serve as the primary infrastructure for the initiative. The coin’s price soared immediately, gaining some 170% within the next 24 hours.

    Extraordinary price spikes like this one often end with hard corrections. However, there is always hope for investors that an even more powerful pump is just around the corner. In CELO’s case, however, the first peak at $9 remained the high-water mark, and the coin’s price only went down from there.

    Anticipating a price decline

    In addition to being one of the week’s top gainers, CELO is also one of the few assets that recorded a low VORTECS™ Score.

    The VORTECS™ Score is a machine learning algorithm that compares historic and current market conditions around digital assets to aid crypto traders’ decision-making. Available exclusively to Cointelegraph Markets Pro subscribers, the indicator considers a host of variables — including price movement, trading volume, social sentiment and market outlook — to arrive at a score that assesses whether the present conditions for a given coin are historically bullish, neutral or bearish.

    High scores indicate the model’s confidence that the conditions currently observed are historically favorable; low scores, which occur less frequently, appear when the algorithm sees a pattern that in the past consistently preceded significant price drops.

    CELO price vs VORTECS™ Score. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

    As visible in the above graph, CELO’s VORTECS™ Score dipped into the red zone below 30 when the asset’s price briefly recovered from $7.03 to $7.24 on its way down from the peak value of $9. While this bounce could look like the beginning of the rally’s second leg, historical precedent suggested that the conditions around the coin were bearish.

    Traders could use this insight in several ways. Those who had hoped for the price to soar again could be nudged to abandon these hopes and lock in their profits above $7. Another strategy could be to short CELO, wagering that its price would soon return to a downward slope.

    As for CELO, the asset soon stabilized in the range between $5.50 and $6, which still represented considerable growth from the $4.30 region from which it exploded during the initial rally.

    Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing or as otherwise specified. Live-tested strategies are not recommendations. Consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions.