Tag: fear

  • Crypto Market Goes Into “Extreme Fear”, What’s Next?

    Crypto Market Goes Into “Extreme Fear”, What’s Next?

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    With the recent crypto market decline, investors have become more fearful of the market. Recorded on the Fear & Greed Index, it shows that this remains an incredibly frightening time for users of cryptocurrencies. In times like these when the prices of digital assets continue to slide down, it is expected that investors become warier. However, this time around, the market had quickly gone into “Extreme Fear” territory with no sign of emerging anytime soon.

    Scared Of Investing?

    At the start of the month, top cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum had begun a recovery trend that would eventually wash over the rest of the market. As prices rose, so did positive sentiment among investors who had flooded back into the market. Not long after though, the market had started one of its signature correction trends that comes with the bull rally and now investors have chosen to retreat instead of risk further downside.

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    The Fear & Greed Index shows that the market had been on a downward sliding scale since coming out of last week which had ended with a neutral sentiment from both sides of the market. By Monday however, this had quickly turned into fear with bitcoin finally falling to the $43K territory. Tuesday in itself proved to be worse as the market had indeed fallen into extreme fear, leading to a low score of 20.

    Now, while Wednesday is starting out better than what Tuesday ended with at a score of 25, it still does not spell good news for the short term. When investors are scared of the market, they tend to not put any money into it for fear of losing more. This also triggers people taking profits from the market due to fear of their coins dropping further in value. With such low momentum, prices can suffer more instead of staging another recovery.

    Is Fear Good For Crypto?

    When it comes to how the market is feeling towards cryptocurrencies, it can often be a matter of personal perspective. There are those who believe that steering clear of the market while it is fearful is the best bet and to only invest once the prices start recovering. However, there are those who believe the opposite.

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    Those who subscribe to the “buy the blood” school of thought often welcome downtrends like these since it gives them the opportunity to purchase coins at a “discount.” This mainly comes down to the risk appetite of the investor.

    Nevertheless, it still stands to reason that some of the largest rallies have come after the market has consolidated from a price drop. This was the case in late February/early March which had seen the market in extreme fear turn greedy very fast as prices began to recover. 

    Crypto total price chart from TradingView.com

    Total market cap falls to $1.8 trillion | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap on TradingView.com
    Featured image from Psychology Today, chart from TradingView.com

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  • Ethereum Sports Bearish Signals As Crypto Market Shifts Back Into Fear

    Ethereum Sports Bearish Signals As Crypto Market Shifts Back Into Fear

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    Ethereum has mostly mirrored bitcoin’s run in the recent rally. This has seen the digital asset break as high as $3,000 once again for the year. This point which has proved elusive for the cryptocurrency has continued to give it a hard time. In previous times, Ethereum has had a had time staying above this level. Such has been the case this time around as it fails to secure its spot above e$3K.

    Ethereum On The Decline

    Like all other cryptocurrencies, Ethereum is a highly volatile asset and as such is subject to wild fluctuations in its price. For the last few months, it has fluctuated but remained mostly around the $2,600 to $ 2,800=0 level. With the recent rally, it was finally able to break out of this trend and begin a whole new one, one which saw it rise above the coveted $3K level.

    Related Reading | TA: Ethereum Prints Bearish Pattern, Why It Could Correct To $2.8K

    Nevertheless, this recovery would prove to be short-lived given that ETH could not maintain this position. Meeting fierce resistance from the bears at the $3,000 point, the digital asset was unable to form any meaningful support above it. This meant that the price crumbled below it but it would prove to be a continuous downward trend given the current indicators.

    The fall below $3k saw the digital asset trading below its 50-day moving average. Now, this is an incredibly important point for cryptocurrencies in general given their high volatility. Since buyers are unwilling to purchase the digital asset at prices they did over the past few weeks, it indicates that Ethereum is still a seller’s market. Thus, it is expected that there will be a continuous downtrend as more coins are dumped on the market.

    Ethereum price chart on TradingView.com

    ETH falls below $3k | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

    This however does not spell bad news all around though. A market like ETH’s can quickly switch up and turn into a buyer’s market, especially when prices are as low as they are right now. If this happens, then Ethereum could very well see another 10% bounce that will cement its position above the $3k resistance point.

    Market Sentiments Falls To Fear

    The Fear & Greed Index had moved out of the fear territory back into a neutral point at the start of the week but this new wave of positive sentiment did not hold. The index has now moved back into fear at a current score of 39 as at the time of this writing, showing that despite recent rallies, investor sentiments are still more negative than anything.

    Related Reading | Terra (LUNA) Outperforms Popular Cryptos Ether, Dogecoin In The Past 24 Hours

    Ethereum and the crypto market are directly affected by investor sentiment as they show when investors are likely to put money in the market. Currently, with the index in fear, it shows that investors are very wary of putting money in the market. However, this does not necessarily spell bad news for ETH.

    Fear & Greed Index

    Market sentiments drop to fear | Source: Alternative.me

    Usually, when most investors are fearful, it can present a good buying opportunity. In the past, whales have been known to take advantage of moments like these to fill their bags. If so, then ETH can kickstart another rally. But only a large absorption of current supply can start the digital asset on this path.

    Featured image from CNBC, chart from TradingView.com

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  • GBTC premium matches Bitcoin price crash levels as unlocking fear fades

    GBTC premium matches Bitcoin price crash levels as unlocking fear fades

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    The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is echoing bullish sentiment in Bitcoin (BTC) as its premium over spot price rises to its highest since May.

    Data from analytics resource Bybt shows that on July 27, the so-ca Grayscale premium stood at -5.88%. The last time it was closer to zero was on May 25.

    GBTC premium slips above -6%

    That was a week after Bitcoin began a major price drawdown which this week has finally shown signs of abating.

    GBTC has been the subject of intense speculation since Bitcoin’s 55% price dip, with unlocking of GBTC shares allegedly capable of adding to selling pressure.

    As Cointelegraph reported, such a premise is false by default, given restrictions in place on GBTC holders.

    Nonetheless, interest in purchasing has resurfaced this month in particular, with conspicuous names adding to their tranche and increasing their Bitcoin exposure.

    The Grayscale premium — the trading price of GBTC relative to the net asset value (NAV) of its BTC holdings — has increased in step, trending back to zero after an extended stay in negative territory.

    With unlockings all but complete, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin price suppression has all but disappeared.

    “$GBTC premium has gone from -15% to -5% in 5 days,” trader and analyst Nick Hellman commented on the latest changes.

    “If $BTC can maintain these levels and have Grayscale premiums flip positive that will add fuel to this Bitcoin fire.”

    GBTC premium chart. Source: Bybt

    Purpose Bitcoin ETF holdings hit pre-crash levels

    Despite mixed perceptions over GBTC, one figure decidedly not at all bearish on any timeframe is Grayscale CEO, Michael Sonnenshe

    In the company’s latest midyear shareholder letter, Sonnenshein reiterated previous public statements about his intent to turn GBTC, along with its altcoin-focused equivalents, into exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

    “We are 100% committed to converting Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (symbol: GBTC), Grayscale Ethereum Trust (symbol: ETHE), and our other investment products into ETFs,” the letter reads

    With United States yet to approve a single Bitcoin ETF, neighboring Canada, which gave the green light to the first player, the Purpose Bitcoin ETF, has never looked back.

    On Tuesday, Purpose’s assets under management jumped from $900 million CAD to $1.1 billion CAD — its highest since May 13.

    Purpose Bitcoin ETF assets under management chart. Source: Bybt