Tag: ETF

  • Asia’s Bitcoin Volatility Linked To Algos Tracking ETF Flows

    Asia’s Bitcoin Volatility Linked To Algos Tracking ETF Flows

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    Recent Bitcoin price volatility in Asia has been closely linked to automated trading algorithms that monitor flows in US exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to Bloomberg, this algorithmic trading response to daily US ETF flow data is causing pronounced swings in Bitcoin prices during Asian trading hours.

    Trading Algos Spoil The Bitcoin Price

    The trigger for Bitcoin’s steep decline, marking its worst drop in a month, was observed on Tuesday morning in Asia. This downturn coincided with the release of US ETF flows data, which indicated a net withdrawal of investments.

    Shiliang Tang, president of Arbelos Markets, highlighted the impact of algorithmic trading on these market movements. “From an algorithmic trading perspective, bots can basically auto-scrape this data and buy and sell based on this,” Tang explained. “It seems that’s basically what is happening.”

    The introduction of several Bitcoin ETFs in the United States on January 11 has since attracted a net $12 billion in investments. These ETFs experienced a surge in inflows, especially in the first half of March, propelling Bitcoin to a record high of $73,798. However, the premier cryptocurrency has seen a decline of up to 17.6% from this peak, amidst fluctuating inflows and outflows within the sector.

    This pattern of flows has notably impacted the Asian market’s returns, with February and early March witnessing particularly strong performance, which diminished later in the month. The influence of algorithmic protocols on Bitcoin’s price not only affects the spot market but extends to derivatives as well, with Coinglass reporting about $357 million in bullish crypto bets being liquidated on Tuesday alone.

    Charlie Morris, Chief Investment Officer at ByteTree Asset Management, pointed out the significance of ETF flows for Bitcoin compared to gold, noting that 5.5% of Bitcoin is held in ETFs, against 1% for gold. This makes ETF flows a more critical factor for Bitcoin’s market movements.

    Market participants like Jakob Kronbichler, co-founder of Clearpool Finance, emphasize the market’s responsiveness to ETF flow data and suggest the recent correction as a natural pause for the market to “take a bit of a breather” amidst widespread excitement.

    Spot ETFs Rake In $40 Million

    Yesterday, all spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced an inflow totaling $40.3 million, primarily due to Blackrock’s significant contribution of $150.5 million, which played a crucial role in boosting the market. On the contrary, ARK faced a challenging day with $87.9 million in outflows, despite having $200 million inflows the previous week. Grayscale’s GBTC saw rather low outflows, amounting to $81.9 million.

    Renowned analyst WhalePanda commented: “Maybe profit taking after Q1? Speculation though. […] Mondays always seem to have the most outflows and wondering if end of Q1 had something to do with it as I suspect. Price crashed further on US government moving/selling some of the BTC from Silk Road. Better to sell here than at $100k or $200k. 17 days until halving.”

    At press time, BTC traded at $66,398.

    Bitcoin price
    BTC price, 4-hour chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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  • XRP ETF Premium Primed For Big Leap: Eyes Set On $500

    XRP ETF Premium Primed For Big Leap: Eyes Set On $500

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    XRP enthusiasts are in a frenzy after prominent community figure Chad Steingraber proposed a scenario where an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) could trade at a staggering 100x premium.

    Steingraber, a seasoned game designer, laid out his thoughts in a recent post, igniting discussions about the potential trajectory of an XRP ETF, particularly in light of the ongoing push for institutional adoption of the altcoin.

    Targeting A $500 XRP ETF Share Price

    Steingraber’s speculation centers around the price at which an XRP ETF’s shares might trade. His hypothesis hinges on the crypto reaching an unprecedented price of $5 per coin. In this scenario, he theorizes that the corresponding ETF could soar to equally unprecedented heights, potentially reaching a solid $500 per share.

    This hefty premium, according to Steingraber, would be fueled by a surge in institutional interest in the ETF. He cites the Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) as a prime example.

    Similar to his proposed XRP ETF, LTCN trades at a significant premium over Litecoin’s current market price. Despite Litecoin hovering around $95, investors in LTCN are currently paying a premium of over $250 per Litecoin equivalent within the trust.

    Can Arbitrage Opportunities Emerge?

    The prospect of such a high premium has sparked discussions about potential arbitrage opportunities. X user Zack, in response to Steingraber’s post, questioned whether individuals holding XRP could exploit this price disparity. Steingraber acknowledged the possibility, particularly if the issuing ETF allows for in-kind deposits, where investors can directly exchange their token for ETF shares.

    XRP market cap currently at $34 billion. Chart: TradingView.com

    However, he cautioned that in-kind deposits are still a rarity in the ETF market. While Steingraber expressed optimism about the future adoption of this practice, its absence presents a hurdle for immediate arbitrage opportunities.

    The XRP community has long advocated for asset managers, especially industry giant BlackRock, to launch an XRP ETF. They believe such a product would significantly bolster the value of XRP by increasing its accessibility to institutional investors.

    XRP up in the last seven days. Source: Coingecko

    A Speculative Outlook With Underlying Uncertainties

    It’s crucial to remember that Steingraber’s vision is entirely speculative. As of today, no asset manager has taken concrete steps towards applying for an XRP ETF. Furthermore, the justification for such a high premium rests heavily on the assumption of substantial institutional demand, a factor that remains uncertain.

    The applicability of the Grayscale Litecoin Trust comparison also requires further scrutiny. The specific structure and features of an XRP ETF would significantly influence whether a similar premium dynamic would emerge.

    A Reality Check For Investors

    While Steingraber’s prediction has certainly captured the community’s imagination, investors are advised to approach it with a healthy dose of caution. The approval timeline for an XRP ETF hinges on the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s stance on cryptocurrency ETFs.

    Additionally, competition from other potential ETFs could play a role in determining the premium, if any.

    Featured image from Freepik, chart from TradingView

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.



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  • First US Bitcoin ETF a ‘dud’ in 2021 as GBTC discount stays near record lows

    First US Bitcoin ETF a ‘dud’ in 2021 as GBTC discount stays near record lows

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    Bitcoin (BTC) institutional demand is conspicuously wanting at the end of the year as data flags the “underperformance” of the United States’ first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund (ETF).

    As noted by markets commentator Holger Zschaepitz on Dec. 29, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) is now trading at nearly 30% below its launch price.

    Anticlimax rounds out 2021 for ProShares ETF

    In a sign of the times regarding Bitcoin sentiment, the hype that accompanied BITO’s launch in Q3 has died down considerably.

    Going from record-breaking volume on its first day to its current state, the ETF has even underperformed the embattled Bitcoin spot price in 2021.

    “The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was a dud, at least this year,” Zschaepitz commented.

    ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) vs. BTC/USD normalized chart. Source: Holger Zschaepitz/ Twitter

    Meanwhile, as Cointelegraph reported, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) continues to trade at its biggest-ever discount to Bitcoin spot price, or net asset value (NAV).

    GBTC’s conversion to an ETF, slated for next year, meanwhile depends on the tone of U.S. regulators regarding spot-based products, these yet to debut.

    GBTC price vs. holdings vs. GBTC premium chart. Source: Coinglass

    Eerie all-time highs persist in stocks

    While detractors describe the GBTC discount as “very concerning,” activity from investors themselves does not unanimously point to apathy when it comes to Bitcoin.

    Related: 5 ways derivatives could change the cryptocurrency sector in 2022

    Morgan Stanley upped its GBTC allocation this month and last, in a sign that longer-term sentiment remains strong.

    Macro markets, meanwhile, display curious characteristics. The S&P 500 is at record highs, challenging a trendline which has marked topside resistance since its inauguration almost 100 years ago.

    Below the surface, however, all is not as it seems, warnings revealed this week.