Tag: bearish

  • Ethereum Sports Bearish Signals As Crypto Market Shifts Back Into Fear

    Ethereum Sports Bearish Signals As Crypto Market Shifts Back Into Fear

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    Ethereum has mostly mirrored bitcoin’s run in the recent rally. This has seen the digital asset break as high as $3,000 once again for the year. This point which has proved elusive for the cryptocurrency has continued to give it a hard time. In previous times, Ethereum has had a had time staying above this level. Such has been the case this time around as it fails to secure its spot above e$3K.

    Ethereum On The Decline

    Like all other cryptocurrencies, Ethereum is a highly volatile asset and as such is subject to wild fluctuations in its price. For the last few months, it has fluctuated but remained mostly around the $2,600 to $ 2,800=0 level. With the recent rally, it was finally able to break out of this trend and begin a whole new one, one which saw it rise above the coveted $3K level.

    Related Reading | TA: Ethereum Prints Bearish Pattern, Why It Could Correct To $2.8K

    Nevertheless, this recovery would prove to be short-lived given that ETH could not maintain this position. Meeting fierce resistance from the bears at the $3,000 point, the digital asset was unable to form any meaningful support above it. This meant that the price crumbled below it but it would prove to be a continuous downward trend given the current indicators.

    The fall below $3k saw the digital asset trading below its 50-day moving average. Now, this is an incredibly important point for cryptocurrencies in general given their high volatility. Since buyers are unwilling to purchase the digital asset at prices they did over the past few weeks, it indicates that Ethereum is still a seller’s market. Thus, it is expected that there will be a continuous downtrend as more coins are dumped on the market.

    Ethereum price chart on TradingView.com

    ETH falls below $3k | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

    This however does not spell bad news all around though. A market like ETH’s can quickly switch up and turn into a buyer’s market, especially when prices are as low as they are right now. If this happens, then Ethereum could very well see another 10% bounce that will cement its position above the $3k resistance point.

    Market Sentiments Falls To Fear

    The Fear & Greed Index had moved out of the fear territory back into a neutral point at the start of the week but this new wave of positive sentiment did not hold. The index has now moved back into fear at a current score of 39 as at the time of this writing, showing that despite recent rallies, investor sentiments are still more negative than anything.

    Related Reading | Terra (LUNA) Outperforms Popular Cryptos Ether, Dogecoin In The Past 24 Hours

    Ethereum and the crypto market are directly affected by investor sentiment as they show when investors are likely to put money in the market. Currently, with the index in fear, it shows that investors are very wary of putting money in the market. However, this does not necessarily spell bad news for ETH.

    Fear & Greed Index

    Market sentiments drop to fear | Source: Alternative.me

    Usually, when most investors are fearful, it can present a good buying opportunity. In the past, whales have been known to take advantage of moments like these to fill their bags. If so, then ETH can kickstart another rally. But only a large absorption of current supply can start the digital asset on this path.

    Featured image from CNBC, chart from TradingView.com

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  • Bitcoin’s $6.1 billion options expiry was not enough to break the bearish sentiment

    Bitcoin’s $6.1 billion options expiry was not enough to break the bearish sentiment

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    Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has been ranging between $46,000 and $52,000 for 26 days. Despite the large nominal $6.1 billion year-end options expiry, the bullish and bearish instruments were evenly balanced between $44,000 and $49,000.

    Therefore, it was no surprise that the $47,175 price at 8:00 am UTC on Dec. 31 brought little change to the price structure. Even the 3% rally to $48,500 following the event failed to sustain itself, signaling that bears are unwilling to cede their upper hand.

    Bitcoin/USD price on Coinbase. Source: TradingView

    Bulls might have interpreted the 9,925 BTC leaving Coinbase in 24 hours as a positive trigger, considering fewer coins are available on exchanges for newcomers. Besides, the first week of the year has been positive for the past four years, averaging 18.5% gains for Bitcoin holders.

    To further support bulls’ thesis, the United States listed tech company MicroStrategy added another 1,914 BTC to their balance sheet on Dec. 30. On the negative side, regulation continues to pressure the markets as South Korean exchanges require users to verify their third-party wallet addresses to comply with the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) travel rule guidelines.

    Bitcoin had a stellar 2021 anyway

    Regardless of the short-term bearishness behind December’s 16% price drop, Bitcoin continues to vastly outperform both U.S. stocks and gold for the third year in a row. Yet, that performance was not enough to avoid every $48,000 and higher call (buy) option instrument becoming worthless as the Dec. 31 expiry price came in lower.

    Bitcoin options aggregate open interest for Dec. 31. Source: Coinglass.com

    At first sight, the $4.0 billion call (buy) options vastly outperformed the $2.1 billion put (sell) instruments, but the 1.9 call-to-put ratio is deceptive because the 16% price drop from Nov.’s $57,000 close wiped out most of the bullish bets. Therefore, there is no value in the right to buy Bitcoin (call option) at $50,000 if it is trading below that price.

    Bulls and bears instruments were evenly marched for the Dec. 31 Bitcoin options expiry, which came in much smaller than expected at $660 million. Yet, bears were unable to take control as 85% of their bets have been placed at $47,000 or below. Such data partially explains why the Dec. 31 expiry was followed by an attempt from bulls to regain momentum.

    Will the first week of 2022 finally be able to revert the slightly negative sentiment that has prevailed since the Dec. 3 crash? Unfortunately, according to Bitcoin options markets, there is no indication that the tide has changed.

    The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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