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Tag: Bear

  • Bitcoin Leads As Markets Sees Record Outflows. Bear Market Incoming?

    Bitcoin Leads As Markets Sees Record Outflows. Bear Market Incoming?

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    Bitcoin and altcoins have not had the best week according to reports coming out of the market. The crypto market as a whole has been enjoying months of continuous inflows following hot on the heels of the recent market rally. It has pushed crypto-assets such as bitcoin towards new highs as inflows had hit a new record alongside assets under management. But it seems that this is changing.

    Coming off the back of what was 17 consecutive weeks of inflows, the market is now seeing movement in the opposite direction. While assets such as ethereum had previously recorded outflows at various times, they had been isolated to a select few. Now the whole market is seeing its first week of outflows after four months of inflows, setting a record at the same time.

    Related Reading | Millennial Millionaires Are The Most Bullish On Crypto, Survey Finds

    Largest Record Outflows

    The total amount of outflows for last week came out to a total of $142 million. This marked the first week of outflows after a 17-week inflows streak that brought assets under management towards record highs. Not only was this the first week of outflows following over four months of inflows, but it is also the largest weekly outflow from the crypto market on record.

    This follows an impressive rally from the crypto market where major cryptocurrencies touched towards a new high. There have been sell-offs all across the market as investors have taken profit and institutional investors are not left out. However, the outflows, despite being a record high, represent only a small total (0.23%) of the asset under management and are also meager compared to the outflows of 2018 that touched as high as 1.6% of total AuM.

    The total inflows for the year had reached a record high of $9.5 billion, almost 50% higher than the record that was set in 2020 of $6.7 billion. So despite the outflows, inflows for the year still remain at a record high.

    CoinShares also notes that the crypto market is not the only one that has recorded outflows either. Risk assets have all seen outflows after the U.S. Fed had released its statement on tapering.

    Bitcoin Leads Outflows

    Bitcoin took the lead for the asset with the most outflows for the week. The digital asset had seen its price plummet back to below $50,000 since hitting its all-time high of $69K but had continued to maintain inflows in the weeks following that. This marks the first outflows for over 17 weeks but remains firmly below outflows levels recorded in June that touched as high as $150 million.

    Related Reading | Struggling Prices Beats Bitcoin Expectations Down From $100K To $50K

    Ethereum has alternated between inflows and outflows for the last 17 weeks. The second-largest cryptocurrency also saw record outflows for the week with a total of $64 million in outflows as it continues to counter bitcoin’s outflows.

    Solana, Polkadot, and multi-asset investment products were spared of the onslaught as they saw $6.7 million, $2.5 million, and $1.5 million in inflows respectively.

    Bitcoin price chart from TradingView.com

    BTC recovers above $48K | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
    Featured image from Wikipedia, chart from TradingView.com

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  • Bitcoin NUPL Says Market Stands At Key Junction Between Bull And Bear Trends

    Bitcoin NUPL Says Market Stands At Key Junction Between Bull And Bear Trends

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    The Bitcoin NUPL indicator shows the market is currently testing a key support level that may be a junction between bullish and bearish trends.

    Bitcoin NUPL Shows Market Currently Stands At Key Support Level

    As per the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the NUPL shows that the market has entered a key zone that can decide whether the following trend will be bullish or bearish.

    The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is an on-chain indicator that measures the difference between the unrealized profit and loss to check whether the market as a whole is currently in a state of profit or loss.

    The metric measures this by looking at what price each coin on the chain was bought at, and comparing it with the current price.

    When the value of the indicator is below zero, it means the overall Bitcoin network is in a state of profit at the moment.

    On the other hand, when NUPL assumes values above zero, then the market is, on an average, having unrealized gains.

    Related Reading | Weekend Volatility Awakens Bitcoin Buyers, Active Addresses

    Now, here is a chart that shows how the value of this Bitcoin indicator has changed over the past year:

    Bitcoin NUPL

    Looks like the overall market is currently in a state of profit | Source: The Glassnode Week Onchain (Week 50)

    As you can see in the above graph, there is a highlighted zone around the NUPL value of 0.5. At this value, 50% of the Bitcoin market cap is in the form of unrealized gains.

    Related Reading | Goldman Sachs CEO Sidesteps Bitcoin Inquiries, Says Blockchain Is More Important

    The report describes this zone as a historical battleground between the bulls and the bears. During periods of bearish trend, this zone usually provides resistance, while in times of bullish sentiment, the zone would act as support.

    Now as the chart shows, the indicator seems to be touching this zone again. This type of retest has already happened a few times in the past few months, and the bulls stood strong during those.

    Back during the May crash, however, the support didn’t last and the indicator shot below the zone. Afterwards each touch of the zone sent the price back down.

    It’s possible that the market might hold support here as well just like the last few retests. But it’s not set in stone; any transition down here could be bad for the coin’s price, just like how it was in May.

    BTC’s Price

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $46.9k, down 8% in the last seven days. The below chart shows the trend in the price of BTC over the last five days.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

    BTC's price once again plunges down | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
    Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com

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