Category: Investment

  • Bitcoin Starts Recovery, Why Close above 100 SMA Is Important

    Bitcoin Starts Recovery, Why Close above 100 SMA Is Important

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    Bitcoin price started a fresh increase from the $37,500 support against the US Dollar. BTC must clear the 100 hourly SMA and $40,000 to move into a positive zone.

    • Bitcoin started a decent increase above the $38,000 and $38,500 resistance levels.
    • The price is now struggling near the $40,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
    • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $38,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
    • The pair must settle above the $40,000 barrier to continue higher in the near term.

    Bitcoin Price is Rising

    Bitcoin price extended its decline below the $38,200 and $38,000 support levels. BTC tested the $37,500 zone, where the bulls took a stand.

    A base was formed near $37,500 before the price started a fresh increase. Earlier, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $38,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair climbed higher nicely above the $38,000 and $38,500 resistance levels.

    Bitcoin broke the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the main decline from the $42,630 swing high to $37,533 low. It is now struggling near the $40,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

    Bitcoin Price

    Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    The 50% Fib retracement level of the main decline from the $42,630 swing high to $37,533 low is also near the $40,000 zone. Therefore, a close above the 100 hourly SMA and $40,000 might trigger a steady increase. The next major resistance is near the $41,500 level. Any more gains could set the pace for a move towards the $42,500 resistance zone in the near term.

    Fresh Decline in BTC?

    If bitcoin fails to climb above the $40,000 and $40,200 resistance levels, it could start a fresh downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $39,000 level.

    The first major support is now near the $38,750 zone. A clear downside break below the $38,750 support might call for a sharp decline. In the stated case, the price might decline towards the $38,000 level. The next major support is near the $37,500 zone.

    Technical indicators:

    Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.

    Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.

    Major Support Levels – $38,750, followed by $38,000.

    Major Resistance Levels – $40,000, $40,200 and $41,200.

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  • AXS price gains over 16% as Axie Infinity closes in on 1M daily active users

    AXS price gains over 16% as Axie Infinity closes in on 1M daily active users

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    The price of Axie Infinity’s native token AXS surged on Wednesday despite a lackluster upward momentum elsewhere in the cryptocurrency market.

    The AXS/USD pair rose to as much as $44.96 following a 16.44% intraday jump. Nonetheless, the strong upside move came as a part of a sideways trend that saw AXS fluctuating inside the $36.48-$56.57 price range, hinting that traders placed speculative upside bets on the token.

    AXS trades near its all-time high. Source: TradingView.com

    Axie ecosystem swells

    Axie Infinity’s growth as a gaming project provided bullish cues to speculators. Data provided by Axie World showed that Axie Infinity earned $196.89M in July 2021. Meanwhile, so far in August, the project has raked in circa $45M in revenue, with almost 1 million active users. 

    “The interplay between Axie’s revenues and AXS price is noticeable,” wrote Jeremy Ong and Jayden Andrew, analysts at crypto-focused research firm Delphi Digital.

    “This makes sense given the majority of revenues come from Axie breeding fees paid in AXS to the treasury, which significantly decreases the circulating supply of AXS — causing a supply-side squeeze.”

    Axie Infinity revenue per month. Source: Axie World

    In detail, Axie Infinity is a play-to-earn metaverse powered by the Ethereum blockchain. The gaming project enables players to breed, raise, and trade digital pets called Axies. That makes Axie Infinity a blockchain-powered version of the popular Pokemon game.

    Meanwhile, AXS acts as a default currency of the Axie Infinity ecosystem that players use to buy and sell Axies and pay trading fees. AXS also operates as a governance token, allowing Axie Infinity players to vote on proposed upgrades.

    AXS holders also receive a 95% of the total Axie Infinity revenue.

    The economic prospects have so far boosted AXS demand among traders. Data intelligence firm IntoTheBlock noted that the number of Axie Infinity token holders grew by 400% since November 2020—from zero to 16.73K addresses.

    Only 1% of the addresses holding AXS have made losses. Source: IntoTheBlock

    Currently, more than 93% of wallets holding AXS are in a state of profit.

    Technical setup

    As stated, the AXS/USD exchange rate looks rangebound between two levels, with $56.57 acting as interim resistance and $36.48 as a temporary support. As a result, traders increased their upside bets on a rebound from $56.57 and go similarly bearish when the price hits $36.48.

    Addition support for AXS comes in the form of its 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA; the green wave in the chart below) near $35.10.

    Axie Infinity’s AXS holds above a strong support confluence. Source: TradingView.com

    As of late, AXS corrects lower specifically after its daily relative strength index breaks above 70—an overbought area. Therefore, buying the AXS top, especially when the area above remains unchartered territory for the token, carries additional downside risks.

    Related: Axie Infinity refreshes record high as AXS ascends 131% in just 3 days

    Nonetheless, if AXS/USD breaks above the $5.67-resistance level, its next profit target appears to sit near $76.65. Conversely, breaking below the support confluence near $36 risks crashing the pair to the next line of defense at $24.07, a drop of 33%.

    The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.