Category: Investment

  • Are Cryptocurrency Exchanges Overvalued?

    Are Cryptocurrency Exchanges Overvalued?

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    Cryptocurrency prices move both up and down, but one set of companies always profits: crypto exchanges. These trading platforms have also attracted the attention of big pocket investors and venture capitals and are receiving astronomical sums from them at insane valuations.

    FTX.com, which became one of the leading crypto trading venues in terms of volume, recently hit the valuation of $32 billion, jumping from $25 billion in just three months. The US subsidiary of this global exchange touched the $8 billion valuation mark separate last month.

    While FTX and its investors were vocal about the exchange’s valuation, Binance, which leads the pack of global crypto exchanges, never disclosed its value. A former Binance executive, however, said that the exchange could be worth $300 billion.

    So what is driving this astronomical valuation of cryptocurrency exchanges? And is it even fair to put such a high valuation on these young exchanges?

    “When it comes to the valuation, we should in the first place think in terms of the fundamentals which are pertinent to any commercial vehicle, such as its ability to generate cash flow, its long-term prospects, and the return at which the company can produce value for its investors,” Sergey Zhdanov, COO of crypto exchange EXMO, explained to Finance Magnates.

    However, these metrics alone cannot be predicted with some level of certainty are not sufficient to evaluate the fair valuation of crypto exchanges as so many other factors also need to be considered.

    “With that in mind, looking from the present-day perspective, I believe that nobody can be sure about how realistic the valuations of the exchanges are to their true market value,” Zhdanov added.

    Exchange Always Make Money

    The valuation of crypto exchanges does not directly depend on market trends: buyers will jump in during a bull run, while holders will liquidate their cryptos in a bear market. In other words, crypto exchanges always make money as they charge fees and spreads for executing orders.

    “Valuation of crypto and digital asset exchanges will continue to grow as the
     
     clearing 
    requirements of the burgeoning asset class continues to increase,” said Sang Lee, CEO VegaX Holdings.

    Coinbase is the only public crypto exchange listed on a US stock market and thus discloses financials every quarter. The company, however, reported mixed numbers for the quarters after it become public.

    The ultimate goal of most of the big private companies is to become public. But, how is Coinbase, being the only public crypto exchange, performing in the open market? Well, shares of the company significantly shed their value from the initial levels of the direct listing.

    However, the case is different for private crypto exchanges.

    The valuation of these companies mostly co-relate with tech startups. They are highly scalable, and their offerings and geographical reach can be easily expanded, with the minimum capital requirement. Also, in the case of the crypto exchanges, this
     
     scalability 
    can be accelerated further because of the borderless nature of cryptocurrency trading.

    While FTX.com is based in the Bahamas, Binance does not even have any physical presence. Most of the offerings are not based on fiat, so they can circumvent local regulations to onboard traders from any jurisdictions, well, mostly.

    Eric Chen, CEO and co-founder of Injective Labs, said: “These platforms have the potential to be highly scalable with minimal marginal cost. I can understand the justifications behind these valuations. While these private valuations may appear high, the short-term premium certainly pales in comparison with the long-term growth should their theses play out.”

    Decentralization Is a Threat

    Though regulators are now tightening the noose of these unregulated platforms, the only major threat of these crypto-to-crypto trading platforms is the rise of decentralized exchanges.

    The popularity of decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms are skyrocketing day by day with the increase in the lockin crypto on them. The offered staking rewards also lure crypto holders to provide liquidity to these platforms and earn interest. But, they are still far behind their centralized counterparts.

    Too Many Exchanges?

    The crypto market grew aggressively over the past few years with the growing interest from both retail and crypto space. Though this should have encouraged new crypto exchanges to enter the market, in reality, the existing ones are only getting bigger. Exchanges like Binance and FTX are even acquiring small local exchanges to further grow their global footprints.

    “In the short history of crypto, we have seen multiple paradigm shifts in crypto exchanges. While I do think that a few major crypto exchanges will achieve close to 50% market share, the roster of top players may shift. Decentralized finance and decentralized exchanges are what Coinbase categorized as a threat to its business model, I certainly agree with that,” Chen added.

    Cryptocurrency prices move both up and down, but one set of companies always profits: crypto exchanges. These trading platforms have also attracted the attention of big pocket investors and venture capitals and are receiving astronomical sums from them at insane valuations.

    FTX.com, which became one of the leading crypto trading venues in terms of volume, recently hit the valuation of $32 billion, jumping from $25 billion in just three months. The US subsidiary of this global exchange touched the $8 billion valuation mark separate last month.

    While FTX and its investors were vocal about the exchange’s valuation, Binance, which leads the pack of global crypto exchanges, never disclosed its value. A former Binance executive, however, said that the exchange could be worth $300 billion.

    So what is driving this astronomical valuation of cryptocurrency exchanges? And is it even fair to put such a high valuation on these young exchanges?

    “When it comes to the valuation, we should in the first place think in terms of the fundamentals which are pertinent to any commercial vehicle, such as its ability to generate cash flow, its long-term prospects, and the return at which the company can produce value for its investors,” Sergey Zhdanov, COO of crypto exchange EXMO, explained to Finance Magnates.

    However, these metrics alone cannot be predicted with some level of certainty are not sufficient to evaluate the fair valuation of crypto exchanges as so many other factors also need to be considered.

    “With that in mind, looking from the present-day perspective, I believe that nobody can be sure about how realistic the valuations of the exchanges are to their true market value,” Zhdanov added.

    Exchange Always Make Money

    The valuation of crypto exchanges does not directly depend on market trends: buyers will jump in during a bull run, while holders will liquidate their cryptos in a bear market. In other words, crypto exchanges always make money as they charge fees and spreads for executing orders.

    “Valuation of crypto and digital asset exchanges will continue to grow as the
     
     clearing 
    requirements of the burgeoning asset class continues to increase,” said Sang Lee, CEO VegaX Holdings.

    Coinbase is the only public crypto exchange listed on a US stock market and thus discloses financials every quarter. The company, however, reported mixed numbers for the quarters after it become public.

    The ultimate goal of most of the big private companies is to become public. But, how is Coinbase, being the only public crypto exchange, performing in the open market? Well, shares of the company significantly shed their value from the initial levels of the direct listing.

    However, the case is different for private crypto exchanges.

    The valuation of these companies mostly co-relate with tech startups. They are highly scalable, and their offerings and geographical reach can be easily expanded, with the minimum capital requirement. Also, in the case of the crypto exchanges, this
     
     scalability 
    can be accelerated further because of the borderless nature of cryptocurrency trading.

    While FTX.com is based in the Bahamas, Binance does not even have any physical presence. Most of the offerings are not based on fiat, so they can circumvent local regulations to onboard traders from any jurisdictions, well, mostly.

    Eric Chen, CEO and co-founder of Injective Labs, said: “These platforms have the potential to be highly scalable with minimal marginal cost. I can understand the justifications behind these valuations. While these private valuations may appear high, the short-term premium certainly pales in comparison with the long-term growth should their theses play out.”

    Decentralization Is a Threat

    Though regulators are now tightening the noose of these unregulated platforms, the only major threat of these crypto-to-crypto trading platforms is the rise of decentralized exchanges.

    The popularity of decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms are skyrocketing day by day with the increase in the lockin crypto on them. The offered staking rewards also lure crypto holders to provide liquidity to these platforms and earn interest. But, they are still far behind their centralized counterparts.

    Too Many Exchanges?

    The crypto market grew aggressively over the past few years with the growing interest from both retail and crypto space. Though this should have encouraged new crypto exchanges to enter the market, in reality, the existing ones are only getting bigger. Exchanges like Binance and FTX are even acquiring small local exchanges to further grow their global footprints.

    “In the short history of crypto, we have seen multiple paradigm shifts in crypto exchanges. While I do think that a few major crypto exchanges will achieve close to 50% market share, the roster of top players may shift. Decentralized finance and decentralized exchanges are what Coinbase categorized as a threat to its business model, I certainly agree with that,” Chen added.

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  • Bitcoin On-Chain Demands Suggests That The Market Has Reached Its Bottom

    Bitcoin On-Chain Demands Suggests That The Market Has Reached Its Bottom

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    Bitcoin on-chain analysis can be a good way to try to guess where the market is headed. The market tends to repeat itself with metrics looking the same before a bull or a bear rally, thus making this data a pretty good indicator of what’s to come. Analyst Willy Woo uses this same data to demonstrate a pattern that occurs before the bull rally, the criteria which are being met once again.

    Start Of A Bull Run?

    In a recent string of tweets, analyst Willy Woo presents data from on-chain analysis that points to the bitcoin dump having reached its bottom. According to him, “Price in relation to on-chain demand from both speculative and hodl category of investors are now both at peak oversold levels.” Woo points out that the last time that something like this had happened was when bitcoin reached its bottom following the COVID crash.

    The analyst further outlines the times where this has happened in the past. Going as far back as 2012, he points out the same had been the case in February of that year. What followed had been the memorable 2021-2013 bull run that saw bitcoin gain more popularity among investors.

    Related Reading | Bitcoin Halving To Bring The Subsequent Crypto Frenzy

    Fast forward to 2015 and the same had been the case in January of that year. This time, the on-chain metric spelled the bottom of the bear market that had begun previously in 2014, putting an end to the onslaught.

    If Woo is right and the on-chain metric continues the way it has historically, then bitcoin may very well have reached the bottom, suggesting that this is the end of the downtrend. However, there is no telling if this is actually the case given that bitcoin had recorded back-to-back bull rallies in 2021.

    Bitcoin On The Charts

    Bitcoin has lost almost 50% from its all-time high of $69k which it hit in November of last year. This has however not affected the profits of the majority of holders. The digital asset remains one with the highest volume of holders that remain in profit after the market crash.

    Related Reading | El Salvador Chivo Bitcoin Wallet Relaunch To Serve 4 Million Users

    According to data from IntoTheBlock, 60% of all bitcoin holders are still in profit at current prices. It is important to note that the cryptocurrency was subject to massive sell-offs when investors panicked that the downtrend will continue. Most however have still kept their highly profitable status, with only 35% of all holders currently losing at market prices.

    Bitcoin price chart from TradingView.com

    Bulls struggle to pull BTC up as bears take hold | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    The majority are long-term holders and indicators point to investors still being very bullish on the digital asset despite the downtrend. With its current growth curve, it is expected that the cryptocurrency will see 1 billion holders in the next four years, making it a highly sought-after asset.

    Featured image from Bitcoin News, chart from TradingView.com



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  • Get your tax refund into Coinbase when you file with TurboTax | by Coinbase | Feb, 2022

    Get your tax refund into Coinbase when you file with TurboTax | by Coinbase | Feb, 2022

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    Coinbase

    By Bipul Sinha, Senior Product Manager, Coinbase

    With tax season officially underway, customers expecting a refund might be wondering what to do with their extra cash. Now, Coinbase customers can get tax refunds automatically deposited into Coinbase as USD, where it can be immediately converted into crypto, when they file with TurboTax. Customers will receive their full refund and can choose to save, invest, or spend it. Tax season can be stressful, but now there’s an easy way to put refunds to work.

    Put your refund to work on Coinbase

    According to the National Retail Federation, 62% of US taxpayers who expect to receive a refund this year plan to put the money towards savings, while 27% plan to use it for everyday spending. Our customers are increasingly thinking about how to incorporate crypto in their savings and everyday spending: putting money towards assets they think will increase in value, holding yield-bearing assets, and spending and earning with Coinbase. This year, customers can deposit refunds into Coinbase fee-free to start immediately putting their money to work. They can choose to get refunds deposited into 100+ cryptocurrencies from stablecoins to yield-bearing assets so they can trade or earn interest. Or, they can choose to receive refunds in USD so they can be ready for any trade or to spend with their Coinbase Visa® Card (if they choose to spend USD). All incoming tax refunds will be deposited without any fees².

    File with TurboTax to deposit your refund into Coinbase

    You can deposit your refund into Coinbase when you file with TurboTax. Here’s how:

    • Begin filing your taxes from the Coinbase section of the TurboTax website

    Coinbase is committed to giving everyone instant and easy access to the cryptoeconomy. Last year, we started helping customers get paid in crypto and receive expense reimbursements in crypto. We’ll continue to enable new use cases that allow customers to transition more of their financial lives to the cryptoeconomy.

    We’re also committed to making tax season as easy as possible. Visit www.coinbase.com/taxes for a personalized guide to your crypto taxes⁵.

    ¹If you choose to receive your refund in crypto, Coinbase will automatically convert the amount from US dollars to crypto with no trading fees. Choosing to receive your refund in crypto is an optional Coinbase offer.

    ²No Coinbase trading fees but a spread applies when we buy, sell, or trade cryptocurrencies. Other standard fees may apply, and will be shared during direct deposit sign-up.

    ³You can deposit a maximum of $25,000 per day.

    ⁴Coinbase account and routing number is for deposits only, withdrawals will be rejected.

    ⁵Coinbase doesn’t provide tax advice. Information here is provided to help you understand your taxes, but should be reviewed before you use it to file your taxes. Please work with a professional.

    The Coinbase Card is issued by MetaBank®, N.A., Member FDIC, pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. The Coinbase Card is powered by Marqeta. You may use Coinbase Card to make purchases anywhere Visa Debit cards are accepted.

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  • Report crowns Solana for using least energy per transaction, but there’s a catch

    Report crowns Solana for using least energy per transaction, but there’s a catch

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    Solana (SOL), one of the most active proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains, appears to be a PoS protocol consuming the lowest amount of electricity per transaction, according to a new report.

    The Crypto Carbon Ratings Institute (CCRI), a research startup focused on the environmental impact of cryptocurrencies, released on Wednesday a new report calculating the electricity consumption and carbon footprint of major PoS blockchains.

    The CCRI specifically analyzed PoS networks including Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Avalanche, Algorand and Tezos.

    According to the CCRI’s findings, the Solana blockchain consumed 0.166 watt-hours (Wh) of electricity per transaction within the study, becoming the most energy-efficient PoS protocol in terms of energy used per transaction among the six analyzed networks.

    Cardano, a PoS network that has the biggest market capitalization at the time of writing, consumes the biggest amount of electricity per transaction, which is 52 Wh, according to the report. However, when it comes to a “per-node” comparison, Cardano uses the least amount of electricity per node, the CCRI found.

    Electricity consumption per transaction for PoS systems and Visa. Source: CCRI

    “This metric depends on the amount of transactions taking place on the respective blockchain, also the overall electricity consumption per transaction further depends on the number of nodes connected to the respective network. Generally, these numbers are expected to go down with an increase in the transaction rate, regardless which blockchain is in use,” the study reads.

    Despite Solana’s low energy consumption per transaction, the PoS protocol still consumes a lot of energy due to the network’s massive usage, compared to other PoS networks. According to the CCRI’s study, the Solana blockchain emits 934 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per year, compared to 33 tonnes for Polkadot.

    At the time of writing, Solana is the most-traded PoS protocol, with $2.9 billion in daily trading volumes, while Polkadot has about $900,000 in daily trading volumes, according to data from CoinGecko.

    Yearly carbon footprint of PoS networks compared to a roundtrip flight in business class. Source: CCRI

    Related: Fossils vs Renewables, PoW vs PoS: Key policy issues around crypto mining in US

    Unlike major blockchain networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which use mining operations to confirm transactions based on a proof-of-work (PoW) mechanism, PoS blockchains rely on users simply locking up tokens. As PoS blockchains do not need extra energy from miners in order to validate transactions, they are considered as being more energy efficient.

    As previously reported, many global financial regulators have used PoW’s high energy consumption rates as yet another reason to ban the use of cryptocurrencies like BTC. They would probably also want to ban global banks as the traditional banking system was reportedly consuming twice more energy than the entire Bitcoin network as of March 2021.